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It’s clear that the original
motivation for origin of the Quality Sciences by Walter A. Shewhart, in the
1930s was "Doing better with less," or, "Showing that productivity
does indeed improve as variation is reduced" (Shewhart, 1931). The title of
Dr. W. Edwards Deming’s first chapter in his classic book Out of the Crisis
is "Chain Reaction: Quality, Productivity, Lower Costs, Capture the Market"
(Deming, 1982, 1986).
Productivity is the ratio of output to input where input consists of labor,
material, capital and services and outputs are measurements of results in
products or services (Juran and Gryna, 1988, 8.20).
Productivity increases have remained a consistent fundamental for the quality
movement over the past fifty years. The quality theories developed by the
pioneers all have productivity improvement as goals. Any new quality control or
management tool that failed to achieve increased productivity has faded from
use. The #7, and final, category of the Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award
(MBNQA) criteria over the years has always been Results and has
increased in weighting for the total 1,000 points score to 480 or 48% of the
scoring to earn the award. Results are productivity and quality improvements.
Data on industrial and national productivity are widely compiled and published.
They get the attention of economists, industrial leaders, university business
professors and political leaders.
The conclusion in the year 2003 is that the Quality Sciences and Quality
Management have become the leading catalysts for better resource management.
Productivity increases insure against failure, guarantee profitability, and meet
stakeholders return-on-investment (ROI) and competition goals as well as
conserve valuable resources. All of that leads to success in business,
government, health care, schools, foundations, or non-profit entities. But
productivity is only one measurable component that determines quality and not
always associated with quality depending on how the system is defined.
Significant productivity differences among nations and regions can lead to
unemployment and social trauma in some, which is one of the outcomes of
unregulated globalization.
Productivity increases across a nation produce economic, social and military
advantages. The avoidance of serious recession by the United States from the
events beginning in the year 1997 in Asia and accelerating after the terrorist
attacks on 11 September 2001 is largely attributable to the ever increasing
productivity achieved by quality engineering, control, auditing, and management
that occurred beginning in the 1960s and increased exponentially with the
technology of the digital age in the 1990s. Similar increases have not been
achieved globally, which has contributed to the rich-poor gap increase among
nations over the past twenty years.
What about the future? A mind-jolting projection is that the continued
convergence of quality, science and technology, especially nanotechnology and
automation, over the next 50 years, will produce productivity increases that
dwarf the ones of the last 50 years. But there is an overriding question about
ever increasing productivity. That question is "Productivity for what?"
Let me take you back 42 years to 1961. As a United States Air Force officer I
was fortunate to be a member of the Naval War College student body when, on 3
October 1961, Dwight Eisenhower was the speaker. It was nine months after
President Eisenhower had transferred the title of Commander-in-Chief to John F.
Kennedy. He spoke under the traditional "privileged" sanctuary of the Naval War
College and knew that his comments would not appear in the following morning’s
newspapers. The predominantly military audience included Admiral Chester W.
Nimitz, U.S. Navy (retired), and Vice Admiral Bernard L. Austin, President of
the Naval War College.
Ike discussed the military-industrial complex and what he had meant a few months
earlier when he coined the phrase. He talked of dissent within the military; of
the race to the moon and national priorities; of the components of national
interest; of the meaning of representative government; and the role of religion,
morale, and freedom in the American way of life. He elaborated his views on
strategy toward Communism, on decision-making in a democracy, on leadership and
responsibility, and on the problem of classified information in a free society.
He mused on the problems he faced in coordination of a joint unified military
command, on the structure of the military services, and he gave us his ideas
concerning political integration in Western Europe (Krone, 1971). Even Ike did
not predict the expansion of NATO to 26 nations, including members of the Cold
War Warsaw Pact, as has occurred recently.
Ike addressed productivity in his answer to the question "General Eisenhower,
do you consider the Russian economic growth a serious challenge to the United
States?" Ike answered:
"We are far more productive than the
Russians, but since they started from a very low point their rate of growth is
quite good. The big danger is this: they, by their dictatorial methods, can
direct all their productivity toward the particular things that they want to
use. It is interesting, for example, to talk
to a Russian about automobiles. I think that they produced about 100,000 last
year, we produced 6 ½ million. I took Mr. Kruschev for a chopper ride around
Washington, and he was amazed at the number of big roads running out of the
city. He said "We don’t need roads like this." And I said, "How do your people
get around?" and he said, "They don’t want to travel." …You can be sure that
the things toward which they are directing their productivity are those things
which they think will frighten us, that will tend to divide us from our
allies, or that they can use in uncommitted countries. … if they finally get
us to responding so much to every threat that we hysterically raise our
spending and spend ourselves into bankruptcy—this will be the biggest victory
they will ever need, and they can stack arms. … the use you make of the
productivity really does pose a problem. We must accept only those things we
know we need and we must look at every other dollar of expenditure and ask.
"Was this dollar necessary?" (Krone, 1971, p.24)
Tremendous changes have
occurred since Ike made these comments in 1961. But his point that the
question "Productivity for what?" is critical should remain basic to
Quality Managers as well as national leaders.
______________________
"Quality Classics" is a project of the
American Society for Quality (ASQ) Inland Empire Section 0711. This Quality
Classic was published in the Inland Empire Quality Newsletter, Vol 10,
Issue 3 (Jan-Feb-Mar, 2003). Quality Classics meet the criterion of documenting
a concept, model, tool, formula or algorithm that has 50 years or more validated
utility in the Quality Movement begun in the 1950s. Readers can access the
entire series of Quality Classics at:
http://www.asq711.org.
Deming, W. Edwards. 1982, 1985. Out of the
Crisis. Cambridge, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Center for Advanced
Engineering Study. Juran, J.M. Editor in Chief and Frank M. Gyrna,
Associate Editor. Juran’s Quality Handbook, 4th Edition .
McGraw-Hill Book Company. Krone, Robert M. 1971. "Eisenhower at the Naval
War College," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings, Vol 97, # 2/820
(June 1971), pp. 18-24. Shewhart, Walter A. 1931. Economic Control of Quality
of Manufactured Product. Van Nostrand, American society for Quality Control,
1980.
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If you want to find out what’s
wrong, and how to fix it ….. ask those who do the work. That is a lesson learned
centuries ago by the apprentice system in Europe, the family business systems in
Asia and by business and management practitioners and scholars in the Americas.
I was fortunate to be involved in the first and most prestigious academic
program in Systems Management. It was the University of Southern California’s
Master of Science in Systems Management (the MSSM). It began from a 1963 RFP by
the United States Air Force to provide a new masters program for Department of
Defense professionals that would take to the global field advanced education in
Management, Psychology, Systems, Computers and Innovation. By 1987 the program
had grown to 70 locations in the Pacific, throughout the U.S. and Germany and
enrolled over 2000 students (in and out of DOD) simultaneously. Although the
curriculum was cross-disciplinary one basic goal propelled it to being the most
successful of its kind: the Systems Improvement Fundamental. I helped integrate
Quality Management into that program in the 1980s as well as the Crawford Slip
Method for Surveying Groups (See #6 and #9 in this Quality Classics series).
Continuous improvement is a classic of Quality Management as well as the
principle of those survey methods that survive to be classics. There is a simple
reason for the survival of successful concepts and tools for all the fields
(public or private) of Business & Management. That reason is that there is
always the need to: a) identify problems; b) find solutions; and c) improve the
system.
It was the March 2003 issue of The American Society for Quality’s journal,
Quality Progress that was the catalyst for me to add this classic to our series.
See in it the article by John Cravenho and Bill Sandvig (pp. 63-68) titled,
"Survey for Action, Not Satisfaction." Cravenho and Sandvig put their analysis
on the weak point of Customer Satisfaction by stating (p. 63):
"Organizations must stop asking what customers like about what’s been done in
the past and move to a process that clearly identifies what action must be taken
to improve."
I agree. The tendency to place 100% of efforts on customer satisfaction has
bothered me as it has grown. Customer Satisfaction is a useful independent
variable in our analyses. But the dependent variable is always Systems
Improvement. Those survey tools that only aggregate or count attitudes should
not, in my opinion, be deterministic for strategy or policy. They may be very
useful for marketing and production planning. The survey tools, like Ideas
Unlimited™, that are based in gathering recommendations for improvement will
continue to be the essential ones used as the Quality Sciences and Management
Sciences progress over the next 50 years. Look at the last 50 years for
evidence.
"Quality Classics"
is a project of the American Society for Quality (ASQ) Inland Empire Section
0711, in California. This Quality Classic was published in the Inland Empire
Quality Newsletter, Vol 10, Issue 4 (April – May – June 2003). Quality
Classics meet the criterion of documenting a concept, model, tool, formula or
algorithm that has 50 years or more validated utility in the Quality Management
Movement begun in the 1950s. |
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“Cost Benefit Analysis” Cost-Benefit Analysis existed long before
the Quality Movement. Too many failures costing too much was one of the
motivations for the emergence of Quality Control after World War II. And the
need to improve the benefits and reduce the costs immediately became one of
the formal goals in the 1950s.
The concept is simple and uncomplicated. The complexity of applying
cost-benefit analysis is in answering the questions: what are the costs to
be measured and what are the benefits to be measured and over what period of
time will the comparisons be made? The answers to those questions vary
widely across industries, organizations, cultures and systems.
While teaching Systems Analysis for the University of Southern California in
the 1970s I became dissatisfied with the assumption that “Unless there
is an economic or quantitative model your analysis is not Systems Analysis.”
That assumption left out a huge number of critically important qualitative
variables that in my, and others’, judgment should be in the cost-benefit
analysis.
2
Those
qualitative variables can be found in the Policy Sciences, Social Sciences
and Behavioral Sciences and have always played roles in determining the
quality outputs of systems just as do variables in the Mathematical,
Financial, Statistical, Accounting and Economics disciplines.
The time variable for determining cost-benefit outcomes varies widely.
Industry has reduced the time from design to production for major products
like automobiles. But education remains a more difcult analysis when costs
are in dollars, time, energy, emotional stresses and opportunity costs over
years compared to benefits in job opportunities and income and social status
gained at uncertain futures.
One inescapable conclusion is that cost-benefit analysis remains a
fundamental tool in Quality Management and in Life. It is a Quality Classic.
________________
This essay rst
published in INLAND EMPIRE QUALITY, Vol 11, #2 (Oct-Nov-Dec 2003), the
Newsletter of the Inland Empire Section of the America Society for Quality (ASQ).
For the complete Quality Classics series see:
http://www..asq711.org.
2
And was the catalyst for Robert M. Krone, Systems Analysis and Policy
Sciences: Theory and Practice (Wiley, 1980).
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